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After Nine Eleven

A New World Club?
October 6, 2001

With the activation of Article 5, and the almost certain to be multi-national nature of the casualties in the World Trade Center Attacks, NATO has declared its member countries attacked as much as was the United States. With WTC casualties estimated to have hailed from more than 40 countries, this is understandable. US leaders, however, are busy building on this solidarity by promoting a new political reality that transcends the alliance, even making overtures to its one-time cold war enemy Russia, and at the same time – with the moral justification of being the most bloodied – positioning the US as the leader of this new reality. But the leader of what? Not simply of NATO, and not of a United Nations effort to counter terrorism, but of a new and as yet loosely defined organization of mostly western, mostly developed, mostly democratic countries. As NATO acted in Kosovo without the UN, this newly forming alliance could reduce yet again the relevance of the United Nations in world affairs.

From a western point of view, the less developed and largely undemocratic countries – who benefit from simple numerical superiority in a one country, one vote UN – have become increasingly problematic. UN peacekeeping may be on the rise and more or less effective depending on the situation; and UN aid and health initiatives may also enjoy varying degrees of success; yet, the UN, with so many voices so different in their political expression from the democratic and developed west, provides a steadily falling level of effectiveness for expressing the western paradigm. In other words, some of the founding members of the UN no longer like the way the modern UN looks and works.

To some extent this can be likened to creating a club with the express purpose of extolling the virtues of, say, baseball (read: peaceful democratic life) and then admitting a numerically superior number of members who prefer cricket or soccer or any number of other sports. In short order, the baseball faction finds that concern for and real promotion of its sport is diminished. The purely ‘democratic process’ of one member, one vote is busy displacing baseball as the prime concern. In fact, the club becomes a forum for denouncing baseball as the source of all kinds of evils, especially the fact that baseball isn’t cricket or soccer or any of a number of other allegedly equal (or superior) sports.

Objections by the baseball faction to this change of direction are belittled by constant carping and characterized as undemocratic or racist or any number of epithets. In exasperation the baseball faction faces a choice – live with the new order, or withdraw from the club and form a new one dedicated once again to the virtues of baseball. Inevitably, such a withdrawal would be followed by the familiar and nasty name-calling of the remaining members.

In real life, of course, the situation is not so cut and dried. The UN is not a club promoting a particular sport: there are some inherent design specifications in the UN – the Security Council and the power of the veto – that still protect to an extent the western dominated design of the organization; peacekeeping, health, refugee, disaster relief, and similar programs can be argued as having on-going value that should not necessarily be diminished because of dissatisfaction in other areas; and the western democratic countries – especially the US – are already used to being the victims of constant carping. The US in particular views many of the carping states to be criminal states in any event. These states are considered to be antithetical to democracy, to harbour terrorists, and to use the democratic (one state, one vote) nature of the UN as a way to attack an otherwise largely unassailable foe. To many, the situation is paradoxical: Can an institution that is supposed to be a champion of democracy function as that champion when so many of its members are in practice antithetical to the very concept of democracy? Should a democratic state even stay in such an organization?

Forming a new club faces difficulties, however, not the least of which is the public relations problem. Many voices throughout the western democracies will decry a move away from the United Nations. From such big money interests as Ted Turner (who volunteered to pay a portion of the US-owed UN dues, the non-payment of which was an early indication of serious US dissatisfaction with the UN) to the so-called grass roots, the members of myriad western-based Non-Governmental Organizations, or just people in general who have a serious wish for the peace that was once the vision underpinning the UN, the desire to remain active in the UN is extremely strong. What was missing was the single impetus that could force – or at least legitimize – a distancing from (or even outright withdrawal from) the UN and spark the creation of a new club. The attacks on the World Trade Center and the Pentagon may have provided that impetus: The United States has declared itself in a “New War,” one in which the UN has no place.

In the short time following the September 11 attacks, the US has worked hard to build a positive public image in its pursuit of new alliances. Some of these alliances have been characterized by the Israelis as being akin to dealing with the devil, at least the Israeli devil Hitler in the guise of Islamic states, but for some of these states the benefits are clear in the short term. Pakistan is back in good grace with money flowing to it from the international community for its support of the US-led fight against terrorism. Even the UN has benefited, though belatedly. President Bush has done something Clinton could not do in 8 years – sign the order to pay nearly $600 USD in back dues to the UN. If nothing else, and it seems to be nothing else, this move is good public relations. It should not be significant comfort to the UN, however, which was pointedly not consulted before the US and Britain launched their military attacks on Afghanistan.

This situation must reflect an uncomfortable historical parallel for the UN. In its own time The League of Nations, predecessor to the UN, was dogged by an inability to achieve its international aims and, facing a new world war of its own, finally disappeared. This is not to say the UN will disappear any time soon. The organization is huge, and simple bureaucratic inertia – following the business dictum that ‘the first rule of business is to stay in business’ – will likely help it stumble along. As well, as mentioned earlier, the UN has proven capable of providing useful services in areas such as peacekeeping, health, disaster relief, and refugee aid, and these will likely continue. The members of any new club would be risking highly expensive duplication of services by trying to function in those areas as well.

In fact, the new club could be an existing club simply revised or expanded. The G-8, for example, is such a candidate. It doesn’t mirror the make-up of NATO, but it does represent a real target – in terms of economic development and political stability – for those states that are trying to emerge into a democratic, western world. Membership in an evolving G-8 could depend not only on economic and political affinity, then, but also on mutual military or security protection agreements.

All of this is guesswork. Certainly, the US is trying to forge a new coalition to deal with terrorist activities, and there is a vested interest in this for western, democratic states. However, political will is notoriously volatile, public sentiment notoriously short-term, and the US seems intent on trying to draw unpalatable states such as Saudi Arabia into the fray as allies, too. The urge to associate may dissipate as fast as it began.

Whether the US can succeed in engaging the members of a new club at all, or engaging the members for anything beyond the immediate anti-terrorist concern, is anyone’s guess. Curiously, the most likely guarantor of success is the terrorist himself – having proven once so spectacularly what he can do, he is sure to continue. Any success he ‘enjoys,’ however, will only re-ignite the urgency to create a new political reality, a new club that will be designed, finally, to defeat him, and that will also, by its simple existence, reduce the influence of the one major international political organization that gave the terrorist or his state sponsor a world voice – the United Nations itself.

 

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